Wisconsin Governor 2026
A sourced guide to the Wisconsin governor race between David Crowley and Tom Tiffany: every public poll, the ratings and where official results will appear. This is not an endorsement.
Our Final CallCrowley Holds ItRead why →The Wisconsin governor race: history, data and the final week
At the Oct 21 debate, Tiffany called for returning the state's $3 billion surplus through long-term property and income tax cuts and said he would not sign a 'fetal heartbeat' bill, while Crowley proposed a constitutional amendment protecting abortion rights and said he would keep the voucher programs. Both campaigns ran bus tours in the final week focused on affordability. Marquette's final poll found Crowley leading among voters certain to vote and Tiffany ahead among less-certain voters, with independents favoring Crowley 56% to 26%.
How this state voted before
Historic vote shares describe previous electorates, not a projection of the 2026 outcome.
Meet the candidates
David Crowley
Crowley has been Milwaukee County Executive since 2020 and previously served in the Wisconsin State Assembly. He won the Aug 11, 2026 Democratic primary with 39.8%, narrowly ahead of state Rep. Francesca Hong (39.4%).
Tom Tiffany
Tiffany has represented Wisconsin's 7th Congressional District in the U.S. House since 2020 and previously served in the Wisconsin State Senate. He won the Aug 11, 2026 Republican primary with 95.3%.
Also on the ballot: No other candidates on the ballot per Wikipedia (write-ins only; Kirk Bangstad was denied ballot access).
Ratings and money
Cook rates it a Toss-Up and Sabato’s Crystal Ball Leans D; Inside Elections moved it from Toss-Up to Tilt D on Oct. 29.
WisPolitics-State Affairs reported (Oct 7) that in the eight weeks after the primary Tiffany and allied groups spent $54.8 million versus $21.6 million for Crowley and his backers, led by Restoration of America PAC ($14.7 million) on the GOP side and the DGA-affiliated Protect Our Wisconsin (nearly $9.9 million) on the Democratic side.
Race timeline
Primaries: Crowley edges Francesca Hong; Tiffany wins GOP nod
Early in-person absentee voting begins (through Nov 1)
Only televised debate, at Marquette Law School (WISN 12 moderators)
Both candidates launch final-week bus tours
Final Marquette poll: Crowley 51, Tiffany 44 among likely voters
Election Day; polls close 8 p.m. CT (9 p.m. ET)
Polls and polling average
Every public poll of David Crowley vs. Tom Tiffany we have tracked since Mar 19: 11 in all, 4 of them from independent pollsters that count toward the average. Updated October 31, 2026. Tap a dot for the poll’s details and source; switch to Margin for the clearest read on a phone. This is published polling, not a forecast.
Loading the interactive poll tracker… Every public poll we track for this race, newest first:
| Fielded | Pollster / source | Sample | Crowley (D) | Tiffany (R) | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19–Oct 23 | Wick Partisan | 1,213 LV | 48 | 45 | D+3 |
| Oct 14–Oct 22 | Marquette University Law School | 668 LV | 51 | 44 | D+7 |
| Sep 22–Oct 9 | YouGov Partisan | 1,715 A | 46 | 42 | D+4 |
| Sep 28–Oct 1 | Z to A Research (D) Partisan | 662 LV | 49 | 44 | D+5 |
| Sep 16–Sep 23 | Marquette University Law School | 692 LV | 49 | 46 | D+3 |
| Aug 12–Aug 20 | Marquette University Law School | 738 LV | 49 | 44 | D+5 |
| Aug 14–Aug 18 | TIPP Insights Partisan | 1,199 LV | 47 | 43 | D+4 |
| Aug 12–Aug 13 | Platform Communications | 500 LV | 48 | 44 | D+4 |
| Jul 30–Aug 3 | GBAO (D) Partisan | 800 LV | 47 | 44 | D+3 |
| Jul 20–Jul 24 | RMG Research Excluded | 800 RV | 46 | 43 | D+3 |
| Mar 13–Mar 19 | TIPP Insights Partisan | 1,175 LV | 42 | 41 | D+1 |
Source notebook
Selected sources for this page; every poll has its own source link in the table above. Reviewed 2026-10-31.
Corrections welcome: corrections@electiontracker.live. Independent coverage; no endorsement.
What to watch on November 3
Wisconsin polls close at 8 p.m. Central (9 p.m. Eastern). Marquette found the race narrows with a broader electorate, so turnout among less-certain voters is the thing to watch.
Reading a race call: preliminary totals are unofficial. Media projections must name the projecting outlet; certification comes from authorized election officials.