Interactive scenario lab / your picks, not our forecast

Senate Path Map

Flip any of the 35 Senate races on the 2026 ballot. The map counts every combination of the races you leave open and shows which ones each party can’t lose. Lock your map before polls close, and on election night it gets graded live against real race calls.

  1. 1Flip races
  2. 2Count every path to control
  3. 3Lock it, get graded Nov 3
LIVE

👀 You’re viewing someone’s shared map. It’s graded live against real race calls.

Senate map

Start from

Tap a state to cycle Democrat → Republican → (Independent) → open. The race list below names every candidate.

All 35 Senate races

Grouped by our race ratings as of Oct 28. Pick a winner or leave a race open.

How the counting works

Every race you leave open is counted every possible way: two outcomes for most races, three in Montana. Eight open races make 256 combinations. Each combination counts once, so the percentages are shares of combinations, not odds. A 70% share doesn’t mean a 70% chance.

What counts as control

Democrats need 51 seats. Republicans need 50, because Vice President JD Vance breaks 50–50 ties. The 65 seats not on the ballot are 34 Democratic-caucus seats (including independents Angus King and Bernie Sanders) and 31 Republican seats. Independents who win this year only count toward a side if you assign their caucus.

Grading on election night

Locked maps are scored against projections from named news decision desks, as they appear on our results board. Maine and Alaska use ranked-choice voting, and Alaska’s tabulation runs Nov. 18, so some races may stay ungraded for days. Your map and lock time are saved in this browser only.

Want to try a full chamber split instead? Use the control-of-Congress calculator. Background on the closest races: race guides. Official results come only from state election offices.