Governor / November 3, 2026 / reviewed October 31

Georgia Governor 2026

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Forecasts are opinions; election-night calls are separately sourced from named decision desks.

A sourced guide to the Georgia governor race between Keisha Lance Bottoms and Rick Jackson: every public poll, the ratings and where official results will appear. This is not an endorsement.

Our Final CallBottoms by 1Read why →
ElectionTracker / Race dossier / reviewed Oct 31

The Georgia governor race: history, data and the final week

Jackson skipped the Atlanta Press Club debate on Oct 12 and instead launched a five-city tour with Gov. Brian Kemp, presenting himself as Kemp's political heir. The AJC/UGA poll (Oct 7-15) found 68% of Democrats 'very enthusiastic' versus 48% of Republicans, Kemp's approval near 70% and Trump's at 41%. Bottoms has tied Jackson to Trump, while Jackson skipped Trump's Macon rally for a Cherokee County event; Atlanta News First reported a record 2.8 million-plus early ballots.

2026 GovernorNov 3 electionOpen seat: Republican Gov. Brian Kemp is term-limited. Republicans have held the governorship since 2003.Updated Oct 31

How this state voted before

2022 GovernorBrian Kemp (R) beat Stacey Abrams (D), 53.4% to 45.9% (R+7.5)Source ↗
2024 presidentialTrump 50.7%, Harris 48.5% (R+2.2)Source ↗

Historic vote shares describe previous electorates, not a projection of the 2026 outcome.

Meet the candidates

DEMOCRATIC

Keisha Lance Bottoms

Bottoms was mayor of Atlanta from 2018 to 2022 and later served as a senior adviser to President Joe Biden and director of the White House Office of Public Engagement. She won the May 19, 2026 Democratic primary outright with 56.2% of the vote.

Source ↗

REPUBLICAN

Rick Jackson

Jackson, born in 1954 in Atlanta, founded the healthcare staffing company Jackson Healthcare in 2000 and lives in Cumming. He has not held elected office; he announced his campaign in February 2026 saying he would self-fund much of it, and beat Lt. Gov. Burt Jones 52.6%-47.4% in the June 16 runoff.

Source ↗

Also on the ballot: No other candidates named in Atlanta News First's Oct 28 candidate guide (Bottoms and Jackson only).

Ratings and money

Ratings

Cook and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate it a Toss-Up; Inside Elections moved it from Toss-Up to Tilt D on Oct. 29.

Money

Per the Georgia Campaign Finance Commission figures on Wikipedia, as of July 31, 2026 Jackson had raised $118.9 million and Bottoms $5.8 million. The AJC reported (Oct 20) that Jackson spent at least $108 million of his own fortune to win the nomination.

Race timeline

May 19

Primaries: Bottoms wins Democratic nomination outright; Jones and Jackson advance to GOP runoff

Jun 16

Jackson beats Burt Jones 52.6%-47.4% in GOP runoff

Oct 12

Jackson skips Atlanta Press Club debate, tours state with Gov. Kemp; Bottoms faces empty podium

Oct 20

AJC/UGA poll: Jackson 46, Bottoms 45 among likely voters

Oct 28

State Navigate poll: Bottoms 50, Jackson 47

Nov 3

Election Day; polls close 7 p.m. ET

Polls and polling average

Every public poll of Keisha Lance Bottoms vs. Rick Jackson we have tracked since Apr 9: 18 in all, 16 of them from independent pollsters that count toward the average. Updated October 31, 2026. Tap a dot for the poll’s details and source; switch to Margin for the clearest read on a phone. This is published polling, not a forecast.

Loading the interactive poll tracker… Every public poll we track for this race, newest first:

FieldedPollster / sourceSampleBottoms (D)Jackson (R)Margin
Oct 23–Oct 27State Navigate679 LV5047D+3
Oct 16–Oct 23Echelon Insights508 LV4948D+1
Oct 6–Oct 20ActiVote Excluded400 LV48.551.5R+3
Oct 15–Oct 17Quantus Insights755 LV47.549R+1.5
Oct 7–Oct 15University of Georgia SPIA1,000 LV4546R+1
Oct 12–Oct 13InsiderAdvantage800 LV4749R+2
Sep 22–Sep 23InsiderAdvantage1,200 LV4648R+2
Sep 21–Sep 23Big Data Poll678 LV46.748.7R+2
Sep 15–Sep 18YouGov3,299 LV4446R+2
Sep 14Rasmussen Reports1,019 LV4548R+3
Aug 16–Aug 17InsiderAdvantage800 LV4646Tie
Jul 29–Aug 1Quantus Insights815 LV4645D+1
Jul 13–Jul 16Fabrizio Ward (R) / Impact Research (D)1,060 LV4846D+2
Jul 10–Jul 13State Navigate448 LV5144D+7
Jun 27–Jun 30Wick1,175 LV4343Tie
Jun 23–Jun 27Fox News / Beacon–Shaw1,002 RV5247D+5
May 30–Jun 2Concord Public Opinion Partners (D) Partisan510 LV5338D+15
Apr 3–Apr 9Echelon Insights407 LV4943D+6

Source notebook

Selected sources for this page; every poll has its own source link in the table above. Reviewed 2026-10-31.

Corrections welcome: corrections@electiontracker.live. Independent coverage; no endorsement.

Election-night resultsAll race guidesPolling analysis

What to watch on November 3

Georgia polls close at 7 p.m. Eastern. Late October polls ranged from Jackson +3 to Bottoms +3, so watch how the record early vote compares with Election Day ballots as counties report.

Reading a race call: preliminary totals are unofficial. Media projections must name the projecting outlet; certification comes from authorized election officials.