The new phase of ElectionTracker
We are preserving the election-night scoreboard while expanding our post-election reporting. Explore verified events, institutional mechanics and separately labeled predictions.
Ongoing forecasts
Who gets impeached, fired or resigns next?
Our existing prediction page examines different paths to an official leaving office. Impeachment, Senate conviction, firing and resignation are distinct outcomes.
Open the forecast trackerNovember 10 analysis
Hegseth: House refers articles, 211–204
What the 211–204 House referral vote means—and why it was not an impeachment.
2027 briefing
What the new Congress can actually do
Subpoenas, budget fights, nominations, vetoes and the limits of an impeachment majority.
Forecast transparency
35 archived election picks: what held up?
Our November 4 scorecard preserves the 22 matches, two misses and 11 unscored forecasts.
Live data remains separate
Follow race calls for separately attributed election projections. Official certification remains the responsibility of state authorities.